Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.000989 0.001130 0.001271 0.001422 0.001580 0.001739 0.001911
2026-01-11 0.000768 0.000969 0.001179 0.001409 0.001655 0.001908 0.002186
2026-01-18 0.000596 0.000840 0.001102 0.001400 0.001722 0.002059 0.002434
2026-01-25 0.000421 0.000688 0.000988 0.001337 0.001724 0.002134 0.002595
2026-02-01 0.000300 0.000583 0.000915 0.001312 0.001760 0.002240 0.002786
2026-02-08 0.000217 0.000511 0.000872 0.001315 0.001822 0.002371 0.003000
2026-02-15 0.000154 0.000455 0.000843 0.001329 0.001893 0.002508 0.003218
2026-02-22 0.000108 0.000413 0.000826 0.001354 0.001973 0.002654 0.003443
2026-03-01 0.000060 0.000354 0.000782 0.001343 0.002011 0.002750 0.003610
2026-03-08 0.000020 0.000288 0.000723 0.001310 0.002019 0.002810 0.003735
2026-03-15 0.000003 0.000253 0.000702 0.001321 0.002075 0.002923 0.003918
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000208 0.000662 0.001305 0.002099 0.002997 0.004055
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000163 0.000627 0.001310 0.002165 0.003139 0.004293
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000115 0.000580 0.001297 0.002210 0.003259 0.004508
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000075 0.000537 0.001288 0.002258 0.003382 0.004727
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000029 0.000460 0.001227 0.002241 0.003428 0.004858
2026-04-26 NaN 0.000007 0.000414 0.001203 0.002267 0.003523 0.005043
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.000387 0.001205 0.002325 0.003655 0.005269
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.000368 0.001218 0.002395 0.003799 0.005508
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.000358 0.001243 0.002479 0.003959 0.005764
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.000328 0.001233 0.002517 0.004063 0.005954
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.000286 0.001201 0.002524 0.004129 0.006100
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.000271 0.001211 0.002586 0.004259 0.006319